Election 2024 Projections. Our prediction model assesses each race to work out the chances each party has of winning the chamber. Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

This map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. Virginia is predicted to lean democratic in the 2024 general election due to recent polling trends and historical shifts in the state’s voting patterns.